OO 3049 · MFR → SEA

took off 10:36 AM PT · landed 11:37 AM PT (scheduled 10:08 AM PT → 11:42 AM PT)

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +23 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SEA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at SEA that day

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ This flight has been late 10% of the time recently

Weather at each end

MFR (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3049 · MFR → SEA

Odds over time

How late did it get to SEA?