OO 3051 · SEA → PSC

left the gate 9:50 AM PT · taxiing (scheduled 9:11 AM PT → 10:22 AM PT)

Your aircraft is N407SY (E75L), coming in as OO 3344 from SLC: landed 8:35 AM PT.

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at PSC more than 15 minutes late?

93% chance · ±0 pts +25 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PSC?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at SEA that day

↑ SEA is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PSC

↓ Arrivals into PSC at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

PSC (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3051 · SEA → PSC

Odds over time

How late will it get to PSC?