OO 3060 · SAN → DEN

departs 8:19 PM PT · arrives 11:46 PM MT

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±4 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 43 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at DEN that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts43 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3060 · SAN → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?