OO 3122 · STS → PDX

took off 8:17 AM PT · expected to land 9:30 AM PT (scheduled 7:56 AM PT → 9:48 AM PT)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PDX?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ STS is prone to delays

↓ Visibility down to 1.75 mi forecast at STS that day

↓ 7am departures from STS are usually not late

Weather at each end

STS (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts3 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3122 · STS → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?