OO 3434 · LAX → EUG

took off 9:19 AM PT · expected to land 11:10 AM PT (scheduled 9:07 AM PT → 11:36 AM PT)

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at EUG more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to EUG?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↑ 9am departures from LAX are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ This flight has been late 8% of the time recently

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EUG (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3434 · LAX → EUG

Odds over time

How late will it get to EUG?