OO 4918 · ORD → COS

departs 11:02 AM CT · arrives 12:47 PM MT

Your aircraft is N630SK (CRJ7).

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at COS more than 15 minutes late?

97% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to COS?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 11am departures from ORD are often late

↑ Gusts to 38 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at COS that day

↓ COS usually runs smoothly

↓ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at ORD that day

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling833 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

COS (destination) Gusts37 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4918 · ORD → COS

Odds over time

How late will it get to COS?