OO 4983 · LNK → ORD

departs 6:06 AM CT · arrives 8:05 AM CT

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 36 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at LNK that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from LNK are usually not late

Weather at each end

LNK (origin) Gusts35 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.38 in

ORD (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4983 · LNK → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?