OO 5120 · DEN → LBF

departs 8:28 PM MT · arrives 10:40 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at LBF more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±11 pts −11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LBF?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 43 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at DEN that day

↑ 8pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Gusts to 38 kt, cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at LBF that day

↓ LBF usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts43 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precip0.15 in

LBF (destination) Gusts38 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.21 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5120 · DEN → LBF

Odds over time

How late will it get to LBF?