OO 6261 · ORD → LIT

took off 1:33 PM CT · expected to land 2:49 PM CT (scheduled 1:11 PM CT → 3:00 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?

2% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LIT?

LIVE

On time or early
98%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 1pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at LIT that day

↓ LIT usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling833 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LIT (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6261 · ORD → LIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to LIT?