OO 6283 · DSM → ORD

took off 2:27 PM CT · expected to land 3:21 PM CT (scheduled 1:56 PM CT → 3:26 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ORD?

LIVE

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
34%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↓ DSM usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DSM (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.54 in

ORD (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6283 · DSM → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?