OO 6320 · PHX → OKC

departs 8:03 PM MT · arrives 11:21 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OKC?

On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 36 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at OKC that day

↑ 8pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling5,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

OKC (destination) Gusts36 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.30 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6320 · PHX → OKC

Odds over time

How late will it get to OKC?