OO 6437 · LAX → XNA

took off 10:20 AM PT · expected to land 3:02 PM CT (scheduled 10:12 AM PT → 3:35 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to XNA?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 10am departures from LAX are often late

↑ Gusts to 31 kt forecast at XNA that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

XNA (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6437 · LAX → XNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to XNA?