OZ 224 · ICN → JFK

departs 9:00 PM KST · arrives 7:09 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±0 pts +20 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to JFK?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
32%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ICN

Weather at each end

ICN (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

JFK (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OZ 224 · ICN → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?