PT 5859 · BDL → PHL

departs 1:23 PM ET · arrives 2:46 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BDL

Weather at each end

BDL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 5859 · BDL → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?