QX 2093 · FAT → PDX

departs 5:15 PM PT · arrives 7:23 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into PDX at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FAT

↓ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at PDX that day

Weather at each end

FAT (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2093 · FAT → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?