QX 2142 · PAE → PDX

departs 12:49 PM PT · arrives 1:54 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from PAE are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PAE

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at PDX that day

Weather at each end

PAE (origin) Gusts3 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts3 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2142 · PAE → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?