QX 2149 · PDX → RNO

departs 5:38 PM PT · arrives 7:16 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±3 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RNO?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 5pm departures from PDX are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at PDX that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RNO

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts3 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

RNO (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2149 · PDX → RNO

Odds over time

How late will it get to RNO?