QX 2179 · GEG → SEA

took off 5:40 AM PT · expected to land 6:19 AM PT (scheduled 4:55 AM PT → 6:07 AM PT)

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

71% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SEA?

LIVE

On time or early
29%
15–30 min late
54%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at SEA that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

GEG (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2179 · GEG → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?