QX 2200 · SEA → BOI

departs 3:37 PM PT · arrives 6:10 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at BOI more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOI?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ SEA is busy at that time

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at SEA that day

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

BOI (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2200 · SEA → BOI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOI?