QX 2203 · SUN → SEA

departs 11:29 AM MT · arrives 12:26 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts −12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 11am departures from SUN are often late

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SUN

Weather at each end

SUN (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2203 · SUN → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?