QX 2207 · SEA → BIL

departs 8:19 AM PT · arrives 11:23 AM MT

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at BIL more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts −11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BIL?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BIL that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↓ BIL usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into BIL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

BIL (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.6 mi Precip0.29 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2207 · SEA → BIL

Odds over time

How late will it get to BIL?