QX 2329 · SBA → SEA

departs 10:02 AM PT · arrives 12:51 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ 10am departures from SBA are often late

↑ QX's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SBA

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

SBA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2329 · SBA → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?