QX 2350 · SEA → PSC

departs 10:47 PM PT · arrives 11:55 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at PSC more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±4 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PSC?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SEA is busy at that time

↑ 10pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↓ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at SEA that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PSC

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

PSC (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2350 · SEA → PSC

Odds over time

How late will it get to PSC?