QX 2363 · EUG → SAN

departs 2:55 PM PT · arrives 5:24 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAN?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↑ 2pm departures from EUG are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at EUG that day

Weather at each end

EUG (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

SAN (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2363 · EUG → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?