UA 1451 · DRO → DEN

departs 6:55 AM MT · arrives 8:13 AM MT

Your aircraft is N34455 (B739).

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 39 kt, cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at DEN that day

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DRO (origin) Gusts31 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.29 in

DEN (destination) Gusts39 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1451 · DRO → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?