UA 2492 · SFO → GEG

departs 4:11 PM PT · arrives 6:28 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at GEG more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GEG?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GEG (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling10,386 ft Visibility5.85714 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2492 · SFO → GEG

Odds over time

How late will it get to GEG?