UA 720 · DEN → YYC

departs 7:13 PM MT · arrives 10:47 PM CST

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at YYC more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±9 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YYC?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 43 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at DEN that day

↑ 7pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into YYC at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts43 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precip0.15 in

YYC (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 720 · DEN → YYC

Odds over time

How late will it get to YYC?