VB 622 · MTY → LAX

departs 8:32 PM CST · arrives 9:51 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±3 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MTY (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

VB 622 · MTY → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?