VB 679 · SAT → MTY

departs 7:40 PM CT · arrives 8:58 PM CST

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at MTY more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MTY?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 7pm departures from SAT are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Arrivals into MTY at that hour are usually not late

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at MTY that day

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MTY (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

VB 679 · SAT → MTY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MTY?