WN 1123 · BWI → LAS

took off 9:54 AM ET · expected to land 11:16 AM PT (scheduled 9:21 AM ET → 11:57 AM PT)

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAS?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1123 · BWI → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?