Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1202
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 1202 · DAL → SAN
departs 9:47 PM CT · arrives 10:56 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 40%
Fri 11/6 44%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±1 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
66%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt forecast at DAL that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
DAL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
SAN (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.