WN 1223 · BWI → SJC

took off 11:20 AM ET · expected to land 1:21 PM PT (scheduled 11:01 AM ET → 2:09 PM PT)

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SJC?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↑ BWI is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SJC (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1223 · BWI → SJC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJC?