Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1225
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 1225 · PHX → ABQ
departs 8:42 PM MT · arrives 10:01 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 44%
Fri 11/6 48%
Odds over time
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±2 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at ABQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ABQ?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 5,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
ABQ (destination)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.