Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1245
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 1245 · DAL → COS
departs 8:27 PM CT · arrives 9:25 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 42%
Fri 11/6 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at COS more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±3 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
58%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at COS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Arrive at COS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to COS?
On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt forecast at DAL that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
COS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
COS (destination)
Gusts 38 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.