Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1251
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2
WN 1251 · DAL → ECP
departs 8:17 PM CT · arrives 10:16 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 33%
Fri 11/6 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at ECP more than 15 minutes late?
49%
chance · ±9 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
49%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ECP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed – in 24h
–
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at ECP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to ECP?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 33 kt forecast at DAL that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
ECP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 3,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
ECP (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.