WN 1269 · MCO → CMH

took off 12:18 PM ET · expected to land 2:04 PM ET (scheduled 9:06 AM ET → 11:24 AM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CMH?

LIVE

On time or early
0%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
100%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MCO that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ CMH usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.02 in

CMH (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1269 · MCO → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?