Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1296
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 1296 · COS → PHX
departs 8:52 PM MT · arrives 10:44 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 32%
Fri 11/6 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±7 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave COS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 38 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at COS that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
Weather at each end
COS (origin)
Gusts 37 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.02 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 6,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.