WN 1316 · BUF → PHX

took off 9:18 AM ET · expected to land 11:26 AM MT (scheduled 9:11 AM ET → 12:26 PM MT)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PHX?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUF

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

Weather at each end

BUF (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling6,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling5,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1316 · BUF → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?