Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1321
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2
WN 1321 · DAL → MSY
departs 7:23 PM CT · arrives 9:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 57h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 40%
Fri 11/6 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed – in 24h
–
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at MSY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MSY?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt forecast at DAL that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MSY usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.13 in
MSY (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.