Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1361
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 1361 · DAL → ELP
departs 9:53 PM CT · arrives 10:45 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 34%
Fri 11/6 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±3 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
66%
Arrive 1h+ late
20%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Arrive at ELP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to ELP?
On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt forecast at DAL that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
9pm departures from DAL are often late
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
DAL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
ELP (destination)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 8,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.