Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 138
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 138 · DEN → SNA
departs 8:28 PM MT · arrives 9:51 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 29%
Fri 11/6 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
54%
chance · ±14 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
54%
Leave 15+ late
66%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Arrive at SNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SNA?
On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 43 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from DEN are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SNA
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 41 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.12 in
SNA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.