Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1424
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2
WN 1424 · DAL → MSY
departs 9:49 PM CT · arrives 11:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1 44%
Mon 11/2
Tue 11/3 31%
Wed 11/4 41%
Thu 11/5 39%
Fri 11/6 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed – in 24h
–
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed – in 24h
–
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at MSY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to MSY?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 32 kt forecast at DAL that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
DAL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
MSY (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.