WN 1426 · RIC → BNA

took off 11:50 AM ET · landed 12:07 PM CT (scheduled 11:29 AM ET → 12:20 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BNA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ 11am departures from RIC are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RIC

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

RIC (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1426 · RIC → BNA

Odds over time

How late did it get to BNA?