Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1477
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2
WN 1477 · DAL → TUL
departs 9:50 PM CT · arrives 11:09 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Tue 11/3 37%
Wed 11/4 43%
Thu 11/5 41%
Fri 11/6 44%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
68%
chance · ±7 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
68%
Leave 15+ late
62%
Arrive 1h+ late
27%
Cancelled
10%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
7.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
68%
Yes 68%
No 32%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed – in 24h
–
62%
Yes 62%
No 38%
Arrive at TUL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to TUL?
On time or early
28%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 32 kt forecast at DAL that day
↑
Gusts to 35 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at TUL that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
TUL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
TUL (destination)
Gusts 35 kt Ceiling 4,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.42 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.