WN 1500 · DAL → TPA

departs 6:00 AM CT · arrives 9:29 AM ET

Your aircraft is N488WN (B737), coming in as WN 3743 from SAT: landed 10:50 PM CT.

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to TPA?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 767 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at TPA that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into TPA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

TPA (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.40 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1500 · DAL → TPA

Odds over time

How late will it get to TPA?