Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1508
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 1508 · MDW → MSY
departs 10:12 PM CT · arrives 12:33 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 36%
Fri 11/6 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at MSY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSY?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
10pm departures from MDW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MSY usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MSY (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.