Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1542
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2
WN 1542 · DEN → BHM
departs 6:45 PM MT · arrives 10:28 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 40%
Fri 11/6 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?
69%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
69%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed – in 24h
–
69%
Yes 69%
No 31%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed – in 24h
–
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at BHM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BHM?
On time or early
31%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 46 kt, cloud base down to 1,400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
6pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
BHM usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 46 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.04 in
BHM (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.