Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1549
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 1549 · HOU → MSY
departs 10:39 PM CT · arrives 11:58 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 38%
Fri 11/6 41%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at MSY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSY?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
10pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.07 in
MSY (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.