Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1559
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2
WN 1559 · MDW → MCI
departs 9:24 PM CT · arrives 10:57 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1 30%
Mon 11/2
Tue 11/3 20%
Wed 11/4 34%
Thu 11/5 34%
Fri 11/6 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 33 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MCI that day
↑
9pm departures from MDW are often late
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.01 in
MCI (destination)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.44 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.