Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1579
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2
WN 1579 · DEN → DAL
departs 8:02 PM MT · arrives 11:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 8:00 AM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1 50%
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 43%
Fri 11/6 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
73%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
73%
Leave 15+ late
73%
Arrive 1h+ late
36%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
73%
Yes 73%
No 27%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed – in 24h
–
73%
Yes 73%
No 27%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
26%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
31%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 45 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
Gusts to 32 kt forecast at DAL that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 45 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.04 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.